Modi in Rajasthan on October 6, Rahul Gandhi on 10th

Election-bound Rajasthan is all set to see intensification of campaigning in the coming days as Prime Minister Narendra Modi, BJP chief Amit Shah and Congress president Rahul Gandhi are scheduled to visit the state.

Modi will address a rally in Ajmer on Saturday, two days after Shah addresses party workers and ex-servicemen in Sikar followed by a meeting with party workers in Bikaner.

The Congress will seek to counter these high-profile rallies through Gandhi’s rally in Bikaner on October 10, marking his third visit to the state in two months.

Prime Minister Modi would be visiting the state for the second time in a week. He had come to Jodhpur on September 28 to attend the Combined Commanders’ Conference and to inaugurate Prakram Parv on the occasion of the second anniversary of the surgical strikes carried out by India in Pakistanoccupied Kashmir in 2016. This time, the PM’s visit will mark the culmination of CM Vasundhara Raje’s Gaurav Yatra, which began on August 4.

“In the last 15 days, Amit Shah has visited Rajasthan five times to chalk out the poll strategy,” said a senior BJP leader, who did not wish to be identified.

“Rajasthan is important for us not only for retaining power in the state but also for getting maximum seats in the Lok Sabha election, which looks to be poised for a tight finish.

Last time, Rajasthan gave us 25 out of 25 seats.”

Both the parties are looking to step up the momentum with the visits of their main central leaders.

“While the BJP banks on the charisma of Modi-Shah duo, Congress has a lone acceptable face in Rajasthan among its central leaders – Rahul Gandhi. The party will therefore have to depend more on its state leaders – Ashok Gehlot, Sachin Pilot and CP Joshi,” said a Congress functionary.
The BJP, on the other hand, is depending more on its central leadership.

“Central ministers like Arjun Ram Meghwal, Gajendra Singh Shekhawat and CR Chaudhary have a larger role to play.

Besides, the central leadership is likely to field more central ministers and leaders in Rajasthan polls parallel to the state leadership,” said a BJP leader.

 

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Congress’ Failure to Find Room For BSP in MP and Rajasthan

Reveals Split in Opposition Unity

Technically, for the Congress, the support of BSP, SP or Left may not be necessary in electoral dynamics of these three states but failure to get into some sort of understanding with these non-BJP parties creates a negative perception about mahagathbandhan.

A few days after the BSP chief had inked a deal with Ajit Jogi’s Janta Congress in Chhattisgarh, People talked about BSP-Congress alliance won’t materialise in Madhya Pradesh and Rajasthan as well.

BSP president Mayawati has now come on record declaring no tie up with the Congress in the above mentioned states and her party’s resolve to contest on its own.
The BSP had already declared list of 22 candidates for the 230-member MP Assembly. Following Wednesday’s press conference, Mayawati’s close aide and in-charge for Madhya Pradesh had provided her with the list of remaining 208 candidates. The list is likely to be made public in the next few days.

While Mayawati may have chosen to turn the political tables by accusing leaders like Digvijaya Singh being responsible for failure of alliance talks. Reliable sources with the BSP say clarity of “not having an alliance” was well understood by Behenji by mid of September itself.

This clarity has emerged out of what the BSP’s top leadership call “high handedness and arrogance” of the Congress party. Though senior Congress leaders like Kamal Nath kept the hopes of alliance alive, the fact is that the Congress was never ready to accept strict demands of Mayawati as far as seat sharing was concerned.

The Congress found BSP’s demand for seats “too ambitious and unjustified”. While the BSP was demanding not less than 45 seats in MP alone, the Congress insisted on no more than 28 seats to the former.

A senior leader of the BSP put it this way. He said, “Even after the BSP declared an alliance with Janta Congress of Ajit Jogi in Chhattisgarh there was no convincing approach from the Congress regarding Madhya Pradesh.”

It clearly means that more than Digvijaya, it was the Congress party not wanting the alliances in the states where it sees a direct one-on-one fight with the BJP.

However, the failure on the part of Opposition to unite comes as a shot in the arm for the BJP.

It is also a telling comment on the much-hyped mahagathbandhan plans. The non-BJP forces will be going to polls in at least three to four different fronts in these elections.

In Madhya Pradesh, the Samajwadi Party is going with the Gondwana Gantantra Party. The Left parties are in the arena with a front of their own.

In Rajasthan, there are three non-BJP fronts, while the Congress and the BSP will be contesting against each other on all the Assembly seats, the Samajwadi Party has got into understanding with Left Front, and other smaller parties. The AAP is also expected to join this front.

In Chhattisgarh, the BJP already feels comfortable with Ajit Jogi’s party getting support from the BSP. The Left parties and the SP are also going alone in these states.

Despite the odds, Badal Saroj, Former CPM state secretary of Madhya Pradesh, said, “We are still hopeful of defeating the BJP. Opposition unity may not have taken place in ideal form. The rising anger of farmers and common people is strong enough to throw the BJP out of power.”

Samajwadi Party’s spokesperson Sunil Singh Sajan is more vocal in his opinion. He said, “For alliance to happen, bigger parties like the Congress should also have a larger heart.”

Sunil further admitted that “it is a disappointment that larger opposition unity could not take place, primarily because of high handedness of the major non-BJP party”.

Technically, for the Congress, the support of BSP, SP or Left may not be necessary in electoral dynamics of these three states but failure to get into some sort of understanding with these non-BJP parties creates a negative perception about much discussed mahagathbandhan and raises serious questions about capabilities of the top leaders, including Congress president Rahul Gandhi, of being able to craft it before 2019 polls.

Rajasthan Polls 2018: Sensing good show, Congress sitting MPs join ticket queue

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Top Congress leaders in Rajasthan are vying for tickets anticipating a ‘good performance’ by their party in the upcoming assembly elections. Even those who had contested the parliamentary polls earlier are pushing for their candidature. One of the two current Lok Sabha MPs from Congress has also indicated his willingness to try his luck in the polls.

“It would be a party decision. I am ready for whatever the party asks me to do,” he said.

Congress had drawn a blank in the 2014 general elections from Rajasthan. Later, Karan Singh Yadav won from Alwar and Raghu Sharma from Ajmer.

“It was after these bypoll victories that the Congress has come into the reckoning. Now, Rajasthan is the best bet for the party’s revival,” said a senior Congress functionary.

Political analysts feel that the rush for Congress tickets this time is due to the suspense over the chief ministerial candidate.

“Had the party declared the CM face, like BJP has done by projecting Vasundhara Raje, other senior Congress leaders would not have shown so much of interest,” said Ram Pratap Singh, a political analyst.

In 2013, Congress had fought by projecting the then chief minister Ashok Gehlot as the CM candidate. That time, most of the senior leaders contested the Lok Sabha elections giving the assembly polls a miss, which were held about six months before the 2014 LS elections.

“Party stalwarts Sachin Pilot, Jitendra Singh, CP Joshi, Girija Vyas, Mahesh Joshi, Namo Narayan Meena and Ijyaraj Singh, among others, unsuccessfully contested the elections then. Now, focus is on the state assembly polls where dislodging Raje looks more “doable” than engaging in the “complicated” 2019 general elections,” he said.

Earlier in 2008, CP Joshi, the then state party chief, was slated to become the chief minister (though not declared).

But he lost the election by a solitary vote and Ashok Gehlot was given the responsibility

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Rajasthan: Eye on polls, BJP, Congress woo SC voters

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Rajasthan has 34 Assembly seats that are reserved for the SC community. The BJP won 32 of these in the 2013 state polls, while the Congress drew a blank. In 2014, however, the Congress won the Weir reserved seat in a bypoll.

With Assembly elections in Rajasthan a few months away, the ruling BJP and Opposition Congress are vying with each other to woo the Scheduled Castes which, according to the 2011 Census, account for 18 per cent of the state’s population.

According to BJP, More than 2,000 ‘booth vistaraks’ of the party are going from village to village and telling members of the SC community about the Centre and state government’s initiatives for the weaker sections of the society.

“Each vistarak has been allotted two villages where they will interact with the SC youth and residents. We are telling them about state and central government initiatives such as the construction of Ambedkar Bhawans in each municipality,” O P Mahendra, president of state BJP SC Morcha, told The Indian Express. Ambedkar Bhawans are community centres being built by the state government.

Mahendra said the vistaraks are also highlighting the central government’s move to bring The Scheduled Castes and the Scheduled Tribes (Prevention of Atrocities) Amendment Bill in August. The Bill was brought to undo “dilution” of the SC/ST (Prevention of Atrocities) Act by a Supreme Court order that laid down guidelines to be followed before registering a case under the Act. The verdict was met with strong protests from the community.

“The vistaraks will also make the SC population aware about the efforts of the Narendra Modi government to protect the memory of Babasaheb, such as the inauguration of a memorial in London. The Congress didn’t do any of this,” said Mahendra.

Rajasthan has 34 Assembly seats that are reserved for the SC community. The BJP won 32 of these in the 2013 state polls, while the Congress drew a blank. In 2014, however, the Congress won the Weir reserved seat in a bypoll.

The Congress, meanwhile, has launched Samvidhan se Swabhiman Yatra to reach out to the SC population. “Around 4,000 Congress workers are going to every panchayat, slum and village, and convening meetings with the SC population. They are telling them that democracy and secularism are in danger and there is a need to vote Congress back to power,” said Goparam Meghwal, president of the party’s state SC department.

Dalit rights activists said there is anger among the SC population, especially after the April 2 Bandh when several people from the community complained of persecution and harassment by police and anti-reservation outfits. “Neither Congress or BJP can take the SC population for granted. There is anger among Dalit youth and they won’t tolerate discrimination anymore,” said Satish Kumar, director, Centre for Dalit Rights, Jaipur.

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